May 19, 2013
Is
European austerity failing?
I have mostly accepted the
claims of many media and political pundits about austerity programs
in Europe failing. Many of these same pundits are then using this
claim as the basis for recommending America further ramp up its
borrowing and spending to help speed the healing of our economy and
create jobs.
These calls for increased
borrowing and accumulating even more debt for future Americans are
usually tempered by the phrase, "until the economy recovers".
To which I respond...what if it doesn't? What if the twin forces of
automation and low cost labor from less developed nations simply
continues to result in fewer available jobs in all developed nations,
including America, for the foreseeable future?
Lately I have begun to
question my almost automatic acceptance of harm being caused by
austerity in Europe. It seems to me claiming austerity in a country
is failing is just about as valid as claiming a family having to cut
back on spending it can no longer afford is painful for them. Duh!
Has austerity caused some pain for many Europeans? Undoubtedly!
However, on the positive side, it has certainly slowed down the
continuing accumulation of debt...which all of these countries have
in common with America. I also think it's very likely the pain it
causes current citizens will help reduce pain for future generations.
The bottom of most developed nation's deep debt and joblessness hole
wasn't reached overnight, and climbing out will take time and shared
sacrifices for many years, and perhaps even decades.
America went through a
severe and long-lasting depression beginning in 1929, and full
recovery didn't happen until the end of WW II. Clearly the immense
spending to support the war helped to restore our economy. However,
we must also remember the rest of the developed nations manufacturing
capacity had been mostly destroyed by the war, and as a result,
America had major competitive advantages from the late forties until
the early 70s. These advantages fueled what became the golden age of
America for the middle class.
Parents of my generation
grew up during the great depression. Most had personal experience
with deprivation and hardship. But, they also seemed to take great
pride in having the self-reliance to survive. It affected the way
most of these depression era folks lived for the rest of their lives.
They never forgot their deprivations, always saved for rainy days,
and only bought what they needed and could afford...not everything
they wanted.
Sadly, the lessons the
depression era generation and their leaders learned were quickly
forgotten by succeeding generations. Since the 1970s, many of our
citizens and most government leaders, along with those throughout
Europe, failed to apply the lessons learned by the depression era
generation. They failed to save for rainy days, and bought too much
on credit. Worse, our elected learned they could ensure staying in
power by spending our tax dollars in ways which mainly favored the
powerful special interests. Then to finally cap our elected's
incredible foolishness and greed, they found they could leverage the
entire process by borrowing, and then leave future generations of
American citizens and elected to deal with the aftermath.
I do not know of a single
rational head
of a family or business who, after spending themselves into a deep
hole, would decide the best solution is to just keep adding debt.
Sooner or later the piper has to be paid. At best, the payback time
frame for additional borrowing will only be slightly delayed...but
the total size of the debt will only be more painful to manage in the
future.
So is austerity really
failing in Europe? It is if the main objective is to spare current
citizens from any and all pain caused by continuously overspending.
And, It is for elected officials desperately trying to stay in power,
because the voters now clearly understand their failures. Hopefully,
the worst case for these failed politicians will result in their
firing.
Will most American
citizens face suffering similar to Europeans? It's already happening
to millions of Americans, and I'm afraid it's very likely to
increase. Perhaps for a few succeeding generations, many will once
again learn to live more prudent lives by saving for a rainy day and
never overspending resources they don't have. Hopefully, they will
also insist their politicians do the same.
The most important
question to be answered is, do we honestly trust our leaders will
spend additional borrowed money wisely? Really...do we also believe
in fairy tales?
I think we should all
demand our elected leaders prove they can focus on massively reducing
wasteful spending before we even think about supporting even more
borrowing. The Simpson-Bowles plan would be a great place to start.
Do you ever wonder why this logical and non-partisan plan is so
difficult to implement? Hint...the special interests and politicians
don't want the gravy train to slow down!
These are my opinions.
What do you think?
Mike Tower
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